NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR OHIO
Points 71.0 70.9
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 13.3
Shooting AKR OHIO
Field Goals Made 24.4 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 58.0
Field Goal % 44.4% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 18.0
Free Throw % 72.9% 74.1%
Ball Control AKR OHIO
Rebounds 37.2 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.1
Turnovers 11.2 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.0
Steals 4.0 5.5
Fouls 15.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR OHIO
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 68.6
% of Possessions with AKR OHIO
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 31.0%
Player Fouled 22.5% 23.0%
Turnover 16.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR OHIO
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 22.8%