NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR WMU
Points 74.2 64.8
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 19.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 10.8
Shooting AKR WMU
Field Goals Made 25.9 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 57.7
Field Goal % 45.0% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 14.7 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 17.6
Free Throw % 72.9% 61.5%
Ball Control AKR WMU
Rebounds 36.4 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.2
Turnovers 9.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.3
Steals 5.3 4.0
Fouls 15.9 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR WMU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 69.4
% of Possessions with AKR WMU
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 23.2% 22.9%
Turnover 13.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR WMU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 29.6%