NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR OSU
Points 64.5 73.7
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 17.8
Points From Free Throws 12.1 14.6
Shooting AKR OSU
Field Goals Made 22.9 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 57.6
Field Goal % 39.4% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 12.1 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 19.5
Free Throw % 72.9% 75.2%
Ball Control AKR OSU
Rebounds 33.3 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.4
Turnovers 9.8 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.9
Steals 3.7 4.7
Fouls 17.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR OSU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 69.5
% of Possessions with AKR OSU
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 24.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 25.0%
Turnover 14.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR OSU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 27.9%