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Akron at Buffalo
Tue Mar 2, 2021
2:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
Akron at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 6.5, Total Points: 159
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AKR | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-1 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-4-0 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 7-13-1 | 9-7-0 |
Akron Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | S Dakota St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | S Mississippi | -7.5 | W by 18 | +10.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Heidelberg | -- | W by 58 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Florida Intl | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Utah St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Drake | +1.5 | L by 20 | -18.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | UNLV | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Bradley | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | N Kentucky | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Miami-Hamilton | -- | W by 43 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Gard-Webb | -10.0 | W by 4 | -6.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | St Bonavent | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | N Illinois | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Bowling Grn | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Ball St | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Buffalo | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | W Michigan | -14.0 | W by 11 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Kent St | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami (OH) | -8.0 | L by 2 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | E Michigan | -11.0 | W by 31 | +20.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Toledo | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Central Mich | -13.5 | W by 21 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Buffalo | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Toledo | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Ohio | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | N Illinois | -17.0 | W by 7 | -10.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | E Michigan | -21.0 | L by 1 | -22.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | W Michigan | -9.0 | L by 6 | -15.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Kent St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Creighton | +11.5 | L by 17 | -5.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| BUFF -6.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3027 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 2208 times (72.9%).
- The team like Akron won the game 819 times (27.1%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1512-1467-48 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 667 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 327-313-27 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/02 01:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/02 01:38 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/02 12:50 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 03/02 11:35 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:17 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 03/02 07:25 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:02 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:16 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 03/01 07:59 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 04:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/01 04:44 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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