NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR BGSU
Points 75.1 67.0
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 14.9
Points From Free Throws 12.4 14.1
Shooting AKR BGSU
Field Goals Made 27.4 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 57.9
Field Goal % 48.0% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 26.2%
Free Throws Made 12.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 19.4
Free Throw % 72.9% 72.7%
Ball Control AKR BGSU
Rebounds 34.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 9.4
Turnovers 9.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.2
Steals 4.6 5.1
Fouls 15.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR BGSU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 69.5
% of Possessions with AKR BGSU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 23.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 22.8%
Turnover 13.9% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR BGSU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 25.5%