NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR NIU
Points 75.8 66.0
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 18.6
Points From Free Throws 16.5 13.3
Shooting AKR NIU
Field Goals Made 25.5 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 55.4
Field Goal % 44.5% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 16.5 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 19.7
Free Throw % 72.9% 67.4%
Ball Control AKR NIU
Rebounds 37.0 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.6
Turnovers 8.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.6
Steals 5.1 3.8
Fouls 17.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR NIU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 67.5
% of Possessions with AKR NIU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 26.6%
Player Fouled 23.3% 25.0%
Turnover 12.7% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR NIU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 24.1%