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S Methodist at Fla Atlantic
Sat Dec 21, 2019
3:30pm ET
Boca Raton, FL
Boca Raton Bowl: S Methodist at Fla Atlantic: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Methodist by 7, Total Points: 63.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | FAU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-6-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 3-2-1 |
S Methodist Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | LA Tech | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Prairie View A&M | -42.5 | W by 69 | +26.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | TX Christian | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Charlotte | -22.5 | W by 18 | -4.5 |
| 10/12 | Away | E Carolina | -11.5 | W by 21 | +9.5 |
| 10/20 | Away | Temple | -24.0 | W by 55 | +31.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tulsa | -20.5 | W by 59 | +38.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Rice | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | North Texas | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Navy | -20.5 | W by 45 | +24.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Tulane | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Boston Col | -13.5 | L by 9 | -22.5 |
Fla Atlantic Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Monmouth | -25.5 | W by 22 | -3.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Ohio | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Clemson | +25.0 | L by 34 | -9.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Illinois | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Tulsa | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | S Florida | +3.0 | W by 42 | +45.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | UTSA | +2.5 | L by 26 | -23.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Charlotte | -3.5 | W by 22 | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | UAB | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | E Carolina | -7.5 | L by 15 | -22.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Tulane | +9.0 | L by 16 | -7.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Rice | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| SMU -7.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 269 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Methodist won the game 184 times (68.4%).
- The team like Florida Atlantic won the game 85 times (31.6%).
- The team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 139-120-10 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 79 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 43-34-2 (55.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/21 03:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 03:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/21 03:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/21 03:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 02:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 02:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/21 01:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/21 01:49 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 01:30 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 01:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/21 12:09 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 11:45 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/21 11:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/21 11:31 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 11:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/21 11:11 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 07:11 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 05:29 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 01:21 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 10:07 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/20 09:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/20 07:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/20 07:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/20 06:35 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 05:46 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 05:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/20 05:31 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 05:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/20 05:10 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 04:54 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 01:40 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 01:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 12:12 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 10:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/20 10:36 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 10:34 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 01:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/18 12:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/18 11:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 08:47 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/18 08:06 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:42 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 05:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/16 02:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/16 02:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:03 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 02:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/14 01:52 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 08:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 03:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/12 03:31 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 12:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/12 12:28 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 10:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/12 07:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/12 07:01 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 04:46 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/12 04:32 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 04:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:00 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 09:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 07:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/10 07:18 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:33 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 03:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 01:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 01:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 11:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:53 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:39 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 03:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 02:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 02:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 02:15 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:11 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 12:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 12:12 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:15 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:35 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 06:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/08 06:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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