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UCF vs. Marshall
Mon Dec 23, 2019
2:30pm ET
Tampa, FL
(Neutral Site)
Gasparilla Bowl: UCF vs. Marshall: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Central Florida by 15.5, Total Points: 59.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-8-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 1-6-0 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Kent St | -35.5 | W by 50 | +14.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Boise St | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Villanova | -26.0 | W by 34 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Kansas St | +6.0 | L by 13 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Baylor | -8.0 | L by 1 | -9.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Kansas | -2.0 | L by 29 | -31.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Oklahoma | +17.0 | L by 2 | +15.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | W Virginia | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Cincinnati | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 42 | +44.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 1 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Houston | -16.0 | W by 14 | -2.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
Marshall Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Albany | -22.0 | W by 4 | -18.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | E Carolina | -3.0 | W by 18 | +15.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | VA Tech | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.5 | W by 6 | -8.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | NC State | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Georgia St | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 10/19 | Home | James Mad | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | L by 28 | -31.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | App State | +3.0 | L by 22 | -19.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | GA Southern | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Alabama | +10.0 | L by 28 | -18.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Arkansas St | +1.0 | W by 14 | +15.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | UTSA | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| UCF -15.5 | Open | -17.5 | High | -17.5 |
| Last | -16.5 | Low | -15.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 92 games where the closing line favored the away team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Central Florida won the game 79 times (85.9%).
- The team like Marshall won the game 13 times (14.1%).
- The team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 51-41 (55.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 273 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Marshall did better against the spread, going 135-132-6 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| Open | -17.5 | -17.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/23 02:38 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 02:34 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/23 02:14 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 02:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 12/23 01:56 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 01:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 12/23 01:34 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/23 01:29 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 01:15 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 12:54 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/23 12:35 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/23 12:24 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/23 12:18 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 12:04 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/23 11:54 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:26 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:00 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:34 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:11 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 08:54 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/23 08:44 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/23 08:38 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 08:22 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 06:44 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/23 06:34 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/23 06:26 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 04:14 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 03:13 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/23 03:02 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 01:03 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/22 10:34 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/22 07:40 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 05:34 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/22 03:27 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 12:53 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 12:17 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 10:36 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 08:52 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 11:30 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 09:20 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 04:04 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/21 03:59 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 03:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 12/21 03:25 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 03:11 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 10:57 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 05:34 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 03:47 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 08:06 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 01:01 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 08:05 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 02:56 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 02:18 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:58 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:40 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:12 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:34 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 12/08 06:54 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 12/08 06:50 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
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