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Miss State vs. Louisville
Mon Dec 30, 2019
4:00pm ET
Nashville, TN
(Neutral Site)
Music City Bowl: Miss State vs. Louisville: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 4.5, Total Points: 64.5
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-1 | 7-6-1 |
| vs Conference | 4-3-1 | 5-4-0 |
| Streak | Un 1 | Ov 1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 4-1-0 |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 5-5-0 |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 3-3-1 |
| Away | 2-1-1 | 4-3-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Miss State Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | 59.0 | 48-7 | Under | -4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | 60.0 | 31-24 | Under | -5.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | 54.0 | 14-41 | Over | +1.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | 47.0 | 30-37 | Over | +20.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | 45.5 | 17-40 | Over | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | 55.5 | 41-28 | Over | +13.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | 46.0 | 7-3 | Under | -36.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | 40.0 | 13-27 | Push | 0.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | 44.5 | 3-24 | Under | -17.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | 40.5 | 10-51 | Over | +20.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | 48.0 | 41-20 | Over | +13.0 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | 54.5 | 7-17 | Under | -30.5 |
Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | 49.5 | 39-34 | Over | +23.5 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | 56.0 | 56-0 | Push | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | 50.0 | 21-14 | Under | -15.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | 53.5 | 56-28 | Over | +30.5 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | 56.5 | 13-10 | Under | -33.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | 54.0 | 33-20 | Under | -1.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | 45.0 | 21-38 | Over | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | 47.0 | 23-0 | Under | -24.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | 46.5 | 34-3 | Under | -9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | 50.0 | 31-24 | Over | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | 46.0 | 38-31 | Over | +23.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | 48.0 | 31-38 | Over | +21.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | 46.0 | 6-16 | Under | -24.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | 58.0 | 28-42 | Over | +12.0 |
| Total 64.5 | Open | 62.0 | High | 64.5 |
| Last | 64.0 | Low | 62.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 296 games with over/under lines between 63.5 and 65.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 146 times (49.3%).
- Games have gone under the line 149 times (50.3%).
- Games have pushed the line 1 times (0.3%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 118 games where the closing over/under line was 2.5 points higher than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 64-50-4 (56.1%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 3.9 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 64.5 | 64.5 | -- |
| Open | 62.0 | 62.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/30 04:05 PM | 64.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 04:04 PM | -- | 64.5 | -- |
| 12/30 04:02 PM | 64.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:54 PM | -- | 64.5 | -- |
| 12/30 03:42 PM | 64.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:20 PM | 64.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:04 PM | -- | 64.5 | -- |
| 12/30 03:03 PM | 64.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 02:38 PM | 64.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 02:34 PM | -- | 64.5 | -- |
| 12/30 02:22 PM | 64.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 02:04 PM | -- | 64.0 | -- |
| 12/30 01:54 PM | -- | 64.0 | -- |
| 12/30 12:58 PM | 64.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:47 PM | 64.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:10 PM | 64.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:04 PM | -- | 64.0 | -- |
| 12/30 11:54 AM | -- | 64.0 | -- |
| 12/30 11:28 AM | 64.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:06 AM | 64.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:38 AM | 63.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:04 AM | -- | 64.0 | -- |
| 12/30 01:14 AM | -- | 63.5 | -- |
| 12/30 12:52 AM | 63.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 02:04 PM | -- | 63.5 | -- |
| 12/26 08:01 AM | 63.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:52 AM | 63.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 11:53 AM | 63.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:01 AM | 63.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:24 PM | -- | 63.5 | -- |
| 12/11 05:12 PM | 63.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 04:14 PM | -- | 62.5 | -- |
| 12/11 02:54 PM | -- | 62.0 | -- |
| 12/10 06:48 PM | 62.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:43 PM | 62.0 | -- | -- |
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