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Miami OH vs. Fresno St
Sat Dec 27, 2025
4:30pm ET
Tucson, AZ
(Neutral Site)
Arizona Bowl: Miami OH vs. Fresno St: Recap
Odds: Fresno State by 5.5, Total Points: 40.5
Game Winner & Betting Picks
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Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | M-OH | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.9 |
| Points/Play | 0.233 | 0.438 |
| Rush Play % | 35.00% | 55.36% |
| Pass Play % | 65.00% | 44.64% |
| Completion % | 51.35% | 73.33% |
| 3D Conv % | 23.08% | 31.58% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 71.43% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | M-OH | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 8.5 | 6.1 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.776 | 0.313 |
| Opp Completion % | 77.27% | 70.97% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 70.00% | 38.10% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 75.00% | 71.43% |
Team Power Ratings
| Rating | M-OH | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive | -10.6 (#108) | 2.6 (#64) | |
| Last 5 Games | -11.8 (#118) | 3.5 (#66) | |
| Away Games | -27.1 (#134) | -17.3 (#120) | |
| Home Games | 3.5 (#70) | 24.3 (#23) | |
| Conference Games | -- (#112) | -- (#67) | |
| Non-Conference Games | -11.8 (#118) | 3.5 (#64) | |
| First Half | 8.3 (#44) | 1.0 (#78) | |
| Second Half | -20.2 (#138) | 2.5 (#54) | |
| Schedule Strength (Past) | -10.1 (#98) | 1.8 (#36) | |
| Schedule Strength (Future) | -12.5 (#122) | -1.7 (#73) | |
| Luck Rating | 0.0 (#71) | -0.1 (#86) | |
| Consistency Rating | 21.6 (#129) | 29.5 (#135) |
Miami OH RedHawks Rankings
| Rating | Value | Rank | Conf Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive Rating | -10.6 | #108 | #3 |
| Home Rating | 3.5 | #70 | #4 |
| Away Rating | -27.1 | #134 | #10 |
| Neutral Rating | -- | #133 | #1 |
| Home Advantage | 33.3 | #8 | #2 |
| Strength Of Schedule | -10.1 | #98 | #4 |
| Future SOS | -12.5 | #122 | #4 |
| Season SOS | -12.1 | #117 | #3 |
| SOS - Basic | -8.3 | #68 | #6 |
| In-Conf SOS | -- | #70 | #1 |
| Non-Conf SOS | -10.1 | #87 | #5 |
| Last 5 Rating | -11.8 | #118 | #6 |
| Last 10 Rating | -11.8 | #118 | #6 |
| In-Conf Rating | -- | #112 | #1 |
| Non-Conf Rating | -11.8 | #118 | #6 |
| Luck Rating | 0.0 | #71 | #7 |
| Consistency Rating | 21.6 | #129 | #2 |
| Vs. 1-10 Rating | -- | #102 | #1 |
| Vs. 11-25 Rating | -- | #100 | #2 |
| Vs. 26-40 Rating | -27.1 | #137 | #12 |
| Vs. 41-75 Rating | -- | #92 | #1 |
| Vs. 76-120 Rating | -- | #93 | #2 |
| First Half Rating | 8.3 | #44 | #2 |
| Second Half Rating | -20.2 | #138 | #13 |
Fresno St Bulldogs Rankings
| Rating | Value | Rank | Conf Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive Rating | 2.6 | #64 | #2 |
| Home Rating | 24.3 | #23 | #1 |
| Away Rating | -17.3 | #120 | #8 |
| Neutral Rating | -- | #119 | #1 |
| Home Advantage | 44.4 | #2 | #1 |
| Strength Of Schedule | 1.8 | #36 | #5 |
| Future SOS | -1.7 | #73 | #5 |
| Season SOS | -1.0 | #72 | #4 |
| SOS - Basic | 0.0 | #27 | #5 |
| In-Conf SOS | -- | #51 | #1 |
| Non-Conf SOS | 1.8 | #31 | #5 |
| Last 5 Rating | 3.5 | #66 | #3 |
| Last 10 Rating | 3.5 | #66 | #3 |
| In-Conf Rating | -- | #67 | #1 |
| Non-Conf Rating | 3.5 | #64 | #3 |
| Luck Rating | -0.1 | #86 | #3 |
| Consistency Rating | 29.5 | #135 | #2 |
| Vs. 1-10 Rating | -- | #63 | #1 |
| Vs. 11-25 Rating | -17.3 | #134 | #8 |
| Vs. 26-40 Rating | -- | #66 | #3 |
| Vs. 41-75 Rating | -- | #65 | #2 |
| Vs. 76-120 Rating | 24.3 | #14 | #1 |
| First Half Rating | 1.0 | #78 | #5 |
| Second Half Rating | 2.5 | #54 | #3 |
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