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Missouri St vs. Arkansas St
Thu Dec 18, 2025
8:03pm ET
Frisco, TX
(Neutral Site)
Xbox Bowl: Missouri St vs. Arkansas St: Recap
Odds: Arkansas State by 1.5, Total Points: 55
Game Winner & Betting Picks
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Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MOST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.267 | 0.381 |
| Rush Play % | 46.86% | 45.60% |
| Pass Play % | 53.14% | 54.40% |
| Completion % | 62.66% | 67.92% |
| 3D Conv % | 31.25% | 49.12% |
| RZ Scoring % | 78.57% | 84.21% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MOST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.448 | 0.522 |
| Opp Completion % | 69.54% | 74.75% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 50.00% | 48.21% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 80.77% | 95.00% |
Team Power Ratings
| Rating | MOST | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive | -17.5 (#128) | -9.9 (#106) | |
| Last 5 Games | -13.6 (#117) | -8.4 (#107) | |
| Away Games | -20.2 (#127) | -9.5 (#97) | |
| Home Games | -12.7 (#121) | -8.4 (#109) | |
| Conference Games | -21.2 (#127) | -11.5 (#111) | |
| Non-Conference Games | -14.1 (#122) | -7.7 (#102) | |
| First Half | -6.1 (#108) | -4.1 (#101) | |
| Second Half | -10.4 (#133) | -4.8 (#98) | |
| Schedule Strength (Past) | -12.8 (#130) | -7.8 (#96) | |
| Schedule Strength (Future) | -11.3 (#112) | -9.9 (#108) | |
| Luck Rating | -0.2 (#84) | -0.6 (#110) | |
| Consistency Rating | 14.0 (#95) | 7.4 (#26) |
Missouri St Bears Rankings
| Rating | Value | Rank | Conf Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive Rating | -17.5 | #128 | #9 |
| Home Rating | -12.7 | #121 | #10 |
| Away Rating | -20.2 | #127 | #8 |
| Neutral Rating | -- | #123 | #1 |
| Home Advantage | 10.2 | #47 | #6 |
| Strength Of Schedule | -12.8 | #130 | #9 |
| Future SOS | -11.3 | #112 | #1 |
| Season SOS | -12.0 | #123 | #8 |
| SOS - Basic | -8.1 | #100 | #3 |
| In-Conf SOS | -12.7 | #115 | #7 |
| Non-Conf SOS | -12.8 | #119 | #9 |
| Last 5 Rating | -13.6 | #117 | #6 |
| Last 10 Rating | -16.4 | #125 | #9 |
| In-Conf Rating | -21.2 | #127 | #9 |
| Non-Conf Rating | -14.1 | #122 | #8 |
| Luck Rating | -0.2 | #84 | #5 |
| Consistency Rating | 14.0 | #95 | #3 |
| Vs. 1-10 Rating | -- | #113 | #1 |
| Vs. 11-25 Rating | -30.5 | #135 | #10 |
| Vs. 26-40 Rating | -- | #105 | #1 |
| Vs. 41-75 Rating | 0.8 | #57 | #2 |
| Vs. 76-120 Rating | -22.2 | #131 | #10 |
| First Half Rating | -6.1 | #108 | #6 |
| Second Half Rating | -10.4 | #133 | #9 |
Arkansas St Red Wolves Rankings
| Rating | Value | Rank | Conf Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive Rating | -9.9 | #106 | #9 |
| Home Rating | -8.4 | #109 | #8 |
| Away Rating | -9.5 | #97 | #10 |
| Neutral Rating | -- | #96 | #1 |
| Home Advantage | 3.8 | #78 | #6 |
| Strength Of Schedule | -7.8 | #96 | #5 |
| Future SOS | -9.9 | #108 | #11 |
| Season SOS | -8.8 | #101 | #8 |
| SOS - Basic | -8.3 | #103 | #7 |
| In-Conf SOS | -6.9 | #98 | #7 |
| Non-Conf SOS | -8.2 | #86 | #6 |
| Last 5 Rating | -8.4 | #107 | #9 |
| Last 10 Rating | -8.9 | #106 | #9 |
| In-Conf Rating | -11.5 | #111 | #9 |
| Non-Conf Rating | -7.7 | #102 | #9 |
| Luck Rating | -0.6 | #110 | #12 |
| Consistency Rating | 7.4 | #26 | #9 |
| Vs. 1-10 Rating | -- | #95 | #1 |
| Vs. 11-25 Rating | -- | #91 | #3 |
| Vs. 26-40 Rating | -- | #92 | #1 |
| Vs. 41-75 Rating | -11.6 | #117 | #12 |
| Vs. 76-120 Rating | -11.5 | #111 | #8 |
| First Half Rating | -4.1 | #101 | #10 |
| Second Half Rating | -4.8 | #98 | #7 |
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