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Rice vs. Texas St
Fri Jan 2, 2026
1:00pm ET
Fort Worth, TX
(Neutral Site)
Armed Forces Bowl: Rice vs. Texas St: Recap
Odds: Texas State by 19.5, Total Points: 55.5
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.259 | 0.501 |
| Rush Play % | 72.47% | 58.49% |
| Pass Play % | 27.53% | 41.51% |
| Completion % | 66.34% | 70.71% |
| 3D Conv % | 33.52% | 43.13% |
| RZ Scoring % | 89.66% | 91.23% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.3 | 5.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.516 | 0.431 |
| Opp Completion % | 62.82% | 66.05% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 43.23% | 41.62% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 88.68% |
Team Power Ratings
| Rating | RICE | adv | TXST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive | -18.9 (#126) | -2.8 (#80) | |
| Last 5 Games | -26.4 (#134) | 4.2 (#62) | |
| Away Games | -19.8 (#127) | -1.4 (#71) | |
| Home Games | -17.4 (#127) | -5.2 (#90) | |
| Conference Games | -22.2 (#130) | -6.5 (#90) | |
| Non-Conference Games | -15.5 (#118) | 4.7 (#56) | |
| First Half | -10.5 (#123) | -0.3 (#73) | |
| Second Half | -9.3 (#129) | -1.1 (#75) | |
| Schedule Strength (Past) | -9.7 (#107) | -7.8 (#95) | |
| Schedule Strength (Future) | -- (#107) | -- (#95) | |
| Luck Rating | 1.9 (#8) | -1.4 (#121) | |
| Consistency Rating | 13.0 (#80) | 13.0 (#79) |
Rice Owls Rankings
| Rating | Value | Rank | Conf Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive Rating | -18.9 | #126 | #13 |
| Home Rating | -17.4 | #127 | #13 |
| Away Rating | -19.8 | #127 | #14 |
| Neutral Rating | -33.8 | #133 | #13 |
| Home Advantage | 7.3 | #42 | #5 |
| Strength Of Schedule | -9.7 | #107 | #13 |
| Future SOS | -- | #107 | #1 |
| Season SOS | -9.7 | #107 | #13 |
| SOS - Basic | -5.7 | #87 | #10 |
| In-Conf SOS | -8.6 | #101 | #14 |
| Non-Conf SOS | -11.3 | #119 | #10 |
| Last 5 Rating | -26.4 | #134 | #14 |
| Last 10 Rating | -21.4 | #132 | #13 |
| In-Conf Rating | -22.2 | #130 | #13 |
| Non-Conf Rating | -15.5 | #118 | #12 |
| Luck Rating | 1.9 | #8 | #3 |
| Consistency Rating | 13.0 | #80 | #7 |
| Vs. 1-10 Rating | -- | #103 | #1 |
| Vs. 11-25 Rating | -- | #103 | #2 |
| Vs. 26-40 Rating | -35.2 | #134 | #14 |
| Vs. 41-75 Rating | -24.0 | #125 | #14 |
| Vs. 76-120 Rating | -14.8 | #115 | #12 |
| First Half Rating | -10.5 | #123 | #12 |
| Second Half Rating | -9.3 | #129 | #14 |
Texas St Bobcats Rankings
| Rating | Value | Rank | Conf Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictive Rating | -2.8 | #80 | #3 |
| Home Rating | -5.2 | #90 | #4 |
| Away Rating | -1.4 | #71 | #3 |
| Neutral Rating | 12.1 | #31 | #2 |
| Home Advantage | -3.1 | #111 | #12 |
| Strength Of Schedule | -7.8 | #95 | #3 |
| Future SOS | -- | #95 | #1 |
| Season SOS | -7.8 | #95 | #3 |
| SOS - Basic | -9.6 | #116 | #11 |
| In-Conf SOS | -8.0 | #97 | #3 |
| Non-Conf SOS | -7.4 | #87 | #5 |
| Last 5 Rating | 4.2 | #62 | #3 |
| Last 10 Rating | -3.7 | #84 | #3 |
| In-Conf Rating | -6.5 | #90 | #3 |
| Non-Conf Rating | 4.7 | #56 | #3 |
| Luck Rating | -1.4 | #121 | #12 |
| Consistency Rating | 13.0 | #79 | #5 |
| Vs. 1-10 Rating | -- | #66 | #3 |
| Vs. 11-25 Rating | -- | #76 | #1 |
| Vs. 26-40 Rating | -23.8 | #131 | #12 |
| Vs. 41-75 Rating | 1.7 | #68 | #4 |
| Vs. 76-120 Rating | -1.1 | #74 | #3 |
| First Half Rating | -0.3 | #73 | #3 |
| Second Half Rating | -1.1 | #75 | #3 |
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