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Wisconsin at Northwestern
Sat Nov 21, 2020
3:30pm ET
Evanston, IL
Wisconsin at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 7, Total Points: 42.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WIS | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-1 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-1 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-1 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 5-2-0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 21 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Wash State | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Southern | -20.5 | W by 21 | +0.5 |
| 09/22 | Away | Purdue | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Rutgers | -12.5 | W by 11 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Iowa | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Ohio St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Northwestern | -12.5 | L by 14 | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | LSU | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| WIS -7.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 253 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 162 times (64.0%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 91 times (36.0%).
- The team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 126-119-8 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 42 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 23-18-1 (56.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/21 03:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 02:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 12:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:29 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:20 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:32 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:26 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:05 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:05 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/21 04:01 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/21 03:32 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 02:14 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 01:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 10:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 10:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 09:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 09:23 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 07:53 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 05:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 04:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 02:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 12:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 12:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 12:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 11:23 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 10:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 02:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 01:59 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 07:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/19 07:35 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 07:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/19 06:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 09:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/19 09:23 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 01:47 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 06:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 06:33 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 06:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 05:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 05:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 02:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 02:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 01:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 01:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 12:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 12:53 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 12:17 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 10:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 08:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 08:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 07:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 07:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 07:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 06:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 05:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 05:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 04:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 03:24 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/18 12:15 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 09:23 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 08:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 06:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 06:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 05:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 05:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 02:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 01:56 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 11:24 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 11:11 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 09:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 09:17 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 09:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 08:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 08:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 05:24 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 04:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 04:41 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 02:24 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/17 01:32 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 10:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 08:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 08:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 07:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 06:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 05:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 05:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 04:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 04:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 04:17 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 02:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/16 10:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 08:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/16 07:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 05:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/15 05:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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