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Duke at Virginia
Sat Oct 16, 2021
12:30pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Duke at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 10.5, Total Points: 69.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
| UVA -10.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 229 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 172 times (75.1%).
- The team like Duke won the game 57 times (24.9%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 118-107-4 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 328 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 166-155-7 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -10.5 | -- |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/16 12:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 12:29 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:41 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:56 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:05 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 09:04 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:14 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 07:44 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 07:11 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 06:34 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 06:05 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:44 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 05:04 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 04:14 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/16 02:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/15 10:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/15 10:04 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/15 09:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:02 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:44 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 11:41 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 10:23 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 10:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/13 09:44 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/13 09:24 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/13 08:54 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/13 07:54 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/13 07:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/13 05:53 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:05 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:32 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 02:50 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 01:34 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 10/11 10:29 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:29 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 02:35 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:40 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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