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Duke at Wake Forest
Sat Nov 23, 2019
7:30pm ET
Winston-Salem, NC
Duke at Wake Forest: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wake Forest by 6.5, Total Points: 50
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Elon | -32.0 | W by 20 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Old Dominion | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 14 | -17.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Clemson | +21.0 | L by 5 | +16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Florida St | +21.0 | L by 25 | -4.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | NC State | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Notre Dame | +24.0 | L by 38 | -14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Syracuse | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| WAKE -6.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 404 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 272 times (67.3%).
- The team like Duke won the game 132 times (32.7%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 207-185-12 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 347 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 168-166-13 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/23 07:33 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 07:09 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 05:53 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 04:21 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 03:12 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:00 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 01:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 12:48 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 12:37 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 11:25 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:03 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 09:08 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 04:43 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 03:15 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 06:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/22 06:04 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/22 05:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 03:39 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 10:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/22 09:55 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/22 09:16 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 05:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/21 04:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/21 12:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/20 03:37 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:26 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/20 08:04 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 05:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/20 05:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/20 04:54 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 04:12 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 12:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/20 12:36 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 07:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/19 05:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/19 05:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/19 05:03 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/19 01:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 12:22 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 12:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/19 11:46 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 05:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/18 05:36 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 07:34 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/17 06:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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