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Duke at Wake Forest
Sat Oct 30, 2021
4:00pm ET
Winston-Salem, NC
Duke at Wake Forest: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wake Forest by 16.5, Total Points: 71.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Elon | -32.0 | W by 20 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Old Dominion | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 14 | -17.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Clemson | +21.0 | L by 5 | +16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Florida St | +21.0 | L by 25 | -4.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | NC State | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Notre Dame | +24.0 | L by 38 | -14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Syracuse | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| WAKE -16.5 | Open | -16.5 | High | -17.0 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -16.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 183 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 162 times (88.5%).
- The team like Duke won the game 21 times (11.5%).
- The team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 100-80-3 (55.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 350 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 175-168-7 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.0 | -16.0 | -- |
| Open | -16.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/30 03:47 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:44 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 10/30 03:26 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:24 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 10/30 01:47 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 01:44 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 10/30 12:04 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 10/30 09:56 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 09:17 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:44 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:20 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 02:04 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 10/30 12:23 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 09:56 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 06:50 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 05:41 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 01:17 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 10:38 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 09:34 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 06:19 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 05:56 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 01:05 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 10/28 12:50 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 12:14 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:23 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 02:20 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 12:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/27 12:32 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 03:05 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 08:26 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:14 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 08:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 10/24 04:44 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 10/24 04:43 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
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