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Duke at N Carolina
Sat Oct 2, 2021
12:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Duke at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 19.5, Total Points: 74
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| UNC -19.5 | Open | -18.5 | High | -20.0 |
| Last | -20.0 | Low | -17.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 99 games where the closing line favored the home team by 18.5 to 20.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 89 times (89.9%).
- The team like Duke won the game 10 times (10.1%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 50-49 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 380 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 193-180-7 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.5 | -19.5 | -- |
| Open | -17.5 | -17.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/02 11:44 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:08 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:44 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:05 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:58 AM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 10/02 08:29 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 07:20 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 04:41 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 03:26 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:59 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 09:29 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 05:26 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 11:20 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 02:32 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 01:59 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 04:54 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 09/28 04:24 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 09/28 04:17 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 04:05 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:41 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:23 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:56 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:45 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 09/28 12:29 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 01:38 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:14 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 09/27 08:14 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:22 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:54 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 09/26 06:43 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:34 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
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