BetIQ
Make Smarter Sports Bets
Duke at N Carolina
Sat Oct 26, 2019
4:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Duke at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 3, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| UNC -3.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 375 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 201 times (53.6%).
- The team like Duke won the game 174 times (46.4%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 197-168-10 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 432 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 221-204-7 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/26 03:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 03:46 PM | -2.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 03:05 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 02:48 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 12:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 12:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:24 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 10:57 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 10:21 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 08:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 07:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 11:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/25 08:55 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/25 08:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 06:03 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 05:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 02:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/25 02:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/25 12:51 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/24 04:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 03:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/24 02:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/24 01:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 09:52 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:12 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:04 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 04:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/21 04:33 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 02:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 11:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 11:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/21 11:11 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:44 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/21 08:32 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 04:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/20 06:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/20 06:15 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
Printed from TeamRankings.com - © 2005-2024 Team Rankings, LLC. All Rights Reserved.