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Middle Tenn at Miami
Sat Sep 24, 2022
3:30pm ET
Miami Gardens, FL
Middle Tenn at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 25.5, Total Points: 53.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MTU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Alabama | +39.0 | L by 49 | -10.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Missouri | +21.0 | L by 4 | +17.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Murray St | -34.5 | W by 21 | -13.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Colorado St | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 09/28 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 21 | -14.5 |
| 10/04 | Home | Jksnville St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 10/10 | Home | LA Tech | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | Liberty | +16.0 | L by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.5 | W by 34 | +23.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | TX El Paso | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| MIA -25.5 | Open | -26.5 | High | -26.5 |
| Last | -26.0 | Low | -25.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 63 games where the closing line favored the home team by 24.5 to 26.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 58 times (92.1%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee won the game 5 times (7.9%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 32-31 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 375 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Middle Tennessee did better against the spread, going 190-180-5 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -25.5 | -25.5 | -- |
| Open | -26.5 | -26.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/24 03:26 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:53 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:04 AM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 09/24 08:09 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 07:44 PM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/23 11:47 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:29 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 03:35 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 10:59 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 07:05 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 09/21 06:16 PM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/21 11:11 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:04 AM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 09/21 12:15 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/20 05:24 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/20 05:04 PM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 09/20 04:15 PM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 09/20 03:56 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 12:11 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 12:39 AM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 09/19 05:11 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 01:04 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 09/19 12:47 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:14 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 12:13 AM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:24 PM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/18 05:10 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
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