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Purdue at Wisconsin
Sat Nov 23, 2019
4:00pm ET
Madison, WI
Purdue at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 24.5, Total Points: 48.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PUR | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 6-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 4-4-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 2-3-0 | 4-2-0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Fresno St | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Wisconsin | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Illinois | +1.0 | W by 25 | +26.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Iowa | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan | +31.0 | L by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 21 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Wash State | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Southern | -20.5 | W by 21 | +0.5 |
| 09/22 | Away | Purdue | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Rutgers | -12.5 | W by 11 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Iowa | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Ohio St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Northwestern | -12.5 | L by 14 | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | LSU | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| WIS -24.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -24.5 |
| Last | -24.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 125 games where the closing line favored the home team by 23.5 to 25.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 120 times (96.0%).
- The team like Purdue won the game 5 times (4.0%).
- The team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 65-60 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 339 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 168-165-6 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -24.5 | -25.0 | -- |
| Open | -22.5 | -22.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/23 04:04 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 11/23 03:53 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 03:34 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/23 03:24 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:52 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 01:41 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 01:14 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/23 01:04 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/23 12:59 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 12:33 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 11:32 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 11:14 AM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/23 10:54 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 08:04 AM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/23 07:54 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 06:42 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:44 AM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/23 02:28 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 10:27 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 03:40 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:02 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:34 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/21 02:44 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/21 02:34 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/21 09:14 AM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/21 08:58 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 10:48 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 09:32 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:19 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 03:04 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/20 01:44 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 11/20 12:22 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 11:24 AM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/20 11:08 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 10:24 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 11/20 08:04 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:20 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 06:25 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/19 06:14 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/19 01:34 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/18 10:37 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 09:42 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 05:24 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 04:24 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 04:24 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 11/18 04:06 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 03:34 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 11/18 03:31 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 11:54 AM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 11/18 08:14 AM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 11/17 06:45 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
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