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Purdue at Minnesota
Sat Oct 1, 2022
12:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Purdue at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 9, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PUR | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 2-7-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Fresno St | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Wisconsin | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Illinois | +1.0 | W by 25 | +26.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Iowa | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan | +31.0 | L by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Nebraska | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Northwestern | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Louisiana | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Michigan | +19.0 | L by 42 | -23.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Michigan St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Illinois | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Purdue | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio St | +27.5 | L by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| MINN -9.0 | Open | -9.5 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 160 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 118 times (73.8%).
- The team like Purdue won the game 42 times (26.3%).
- The team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 85-73-2 (53.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 504 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 254-240-10 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -9.0 | -- |
| Open | -10.0 | -10.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/01 12:04 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:02 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 11:35 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 10/01 11:14 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 11:05 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:17 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:15 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 10/01 10:07 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 09:56 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:38 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 09:34 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/01 09:02 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:53 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 06:10 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 05:14 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 02:56 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:26 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 09:24 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/30 09:05 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:35 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:20 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:34 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 09/30 09:25 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 09/30 08:56 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 07:20 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 07:14 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 09/29 04:08 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 12:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 09/29 12:32 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 10:35 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 09/29 10:14 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 03:17 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:32 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:29 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:08 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:47 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:24 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 09/27 12:17 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:53 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:24 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 09/26 03:20 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:05 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/26 02:41 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:17 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:45 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/26 09:35 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:26 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:41 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:22 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
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