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Purdue at Iowa
Sat Oct 16, 2021
3:30pm ET
Iowa City, IA
Purdue at Iowa: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Iowa by 11, Total Points: 42.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PUR | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 6-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 3-3-1 | |
| Away | 2-3-0 | 3-4-0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Fresno St | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Wisconsin | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Illinois | +1.0 | W by 25 | +26.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Iowa | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan | +31.0 | L by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Utah St | -24.0 | W by 10 | -14.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Iowa St | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | W Michigan | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Penn St | +14.0 | L by 31 | -17.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Purdue | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Wisconsin | +8.5 | W by 9 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Minnesota | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Northwestern | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Rutgers | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Nebraska | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Michigan | +21.5 | L by 26 | -4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Tennessee | +4.5 | L by 35 | -30.5 |
| IOWA -12.0 | Open | -14.5 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -11.5 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 218 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Iowa won the game 173 times (79.4%).
- The team like Purdue won the game 45 times (20.6%).
- The team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 110-104-4 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 93 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 48-42-3 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.5 | -- |
| Open | -12.5 | -12.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/16 03:34 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 03:08 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:22 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:26 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:02 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 12:29 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:44 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 09:56 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:08 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:11 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:04 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 07:25 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 07:04 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 06:15 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 06:14 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:54 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 05:04 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 04:38 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:14 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 03:47 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:54 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/16 02:41 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:24 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/15 10:11 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:04 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/15 05:14 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:38 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 03:41 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:35 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:05 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 03:53 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 01:29 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:02 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:32 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 04:59 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 03:29 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 01:50 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 01:02 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 11:59 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:54 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/11 09:38 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:50 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:34 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 10/10 03:46 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
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