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W Michigan at Buffalo
Sat Oct 2, 2021
12:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
W Michigan at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Michigan by 7, Total Points: 59.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WMU | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-2-0 |
W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | St. Francis | -13.5 | W by 18 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Syracuse | +24.5 | L by 41 | -16.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Iowa | +28.5 | L by 31 | -2.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Toledo | +21.5 | L by 18 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Ball St | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Miss State | +21.5 | L by 13 | +8.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio | +16.5 | L by 3 | +13.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | E Michigan | -3.0 | W by 24 | +21.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | N Illinois | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Bowling Grn | +2.5 | L by 24 | -21.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +28.5 | L by 21 | +7.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Fordham | -22.0 | L by 3 | -25.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisiana | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Akron | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Central Mich | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Bowling Grn | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Toledo | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | E Michigan | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| WMU -7.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 236 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 149 times (63.1%).
- The team like Buffalo won the game 87 times (36.9%).
- The team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 115-113-8 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 477 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 236-230-11 (50.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/02 11:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:23 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:08 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 09:13 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:59 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 08:29 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:22 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 07:46 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 07:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 06:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/02 05:53 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:22 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 12:05 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 12:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:25 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 06:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 01:35 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 01:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 12:55 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 11:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:05 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:27 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:05 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:25 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 04:55 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:25 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 11:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 10:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 10:02 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 09:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 09:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 08:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 07:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 07:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 06:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 06:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 05:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 04:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 03:05 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 02:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 01:55 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 12:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/30 11:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 07:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 06:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 06:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 05:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/29 05:50 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 11:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 05:47 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/27 09:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:19 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/26 04:46 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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