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W Michigan at Toledo
Sat Oct 23, 2021
3:30pm ET
Toledo, OH
W Michigan at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Michigan by 1.5, Total Points: 54.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WMU | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-4-0 |
W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | St. Francis | -13.5 | W by 18 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Syracuse | +24.5 | L by 41 | -16.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Iowa | +28.5 | L by 31 | -2.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Toledo | +21.5 | L by 18 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Ball St | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Miss State | +21.5 | L by 13 | +8.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio | +16.5 | L by 3 | +13.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | E Michigan | -3.0 | W by 24 | +21.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | N Illinois | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Bowling Grn | +2.5 | L by 24 | -21.5 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| WMU -1.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 198 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 94 times (47.5%).
- The team like Toledo won the game 104 times (52.5%).
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 111-83-4 (57.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 417 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 210-200-7 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/23 03:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:32 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:35 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:05 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:35 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:05 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:23 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:17 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:47 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:20 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 07:35 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 03:56 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 02:44 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 02:32 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 02:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/20 10:47 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 08:02 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 09:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 10/19 02:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 05:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 02:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/18 02:10 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 10:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/18 10:14 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 08:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 06:16 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/18 05:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/18 12:37 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 08:27 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/17 05:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/17 05:07 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 03:46 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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