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Miss State at Georgia
Sat Nov 21, 2020
7:30pm ET
Athens, GA
Miss State at Georgia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Georgia by 26.5, Total Points: 44
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | UGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-1 | 5-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-1 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 3-4-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
Georgia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | TN Martin | -51.0 | W by 41 | -10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Ball St | -42.0 | W by 42 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | S Carolina | -26.5 | W by 10 | -16.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | UAB | -40.0 | W by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Auburn | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Kentucky | -14.5 | W by 38 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Vanderbilt | -32.5 | W by 17 | -15.5 |
| 10/28 | Neutral | Florida | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Missouri | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Mississippi | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | GA Tech | -25.0 | W by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Florida St | -23.5 | W by 60 | +36.5 |
| UGA -26.5 | Open | -23.5 | High | -26.5 |
| Last | -25.5 | Low | -23.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 88 games where the closing line favored the home team by 25.5 to 27.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Georgia won the game 85 times (96.6%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 3 times (3.4%).
- The team like Georgia did better against the spread, going 45-43 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 16 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 8-7-1 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -26.5 | -26.5 | -- |
| Open | -24.5 | -25.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/21 07:34 PM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 11/21 07:29 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:26 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:24 PM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 11/21 07:08 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:04 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 11/21 06:44 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 06:44 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 11/21 06:23 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 05:59 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 05:41 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 05:17 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:35 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:14 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 11/21 04:02 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 12:29 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:44 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:11 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:59 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:35 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:08 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:53 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:17 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:53 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:44 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:08 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:38 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:08 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 06:54 AM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 11/21 02:20 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 11:24 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 11/20 10:44 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:44 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 11/20 07:14 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 04:59 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 04:08 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:11 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 07:26 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 07:04 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/19 03:05 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:11 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 01:38 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 12:02 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 10:02 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 06:59 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 02:50 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 01:55 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
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