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Buffalo at Liberty
Sat Sep 14, 2019
6:00pm ET
Lynchburg, VA
Buffalo at Liberty: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 6, Total Points: 55
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 9-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 1-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +28.5 | L by 21 | +7.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Fordham | -22.0 | L by 3 | -25.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisiana | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Akron | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Central Mich | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Bowling Grn | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Toledo | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | E Michigan | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | N Mex State | -9.0 | W by 16 | +7.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Buffalo | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 32 | +22.0 |
| 10/05 | Home | Sam Hous St | -21.5 | W by 5 | -16.5 |
| 10/10 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 10/17 | Home | Middle Tenn | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | W Kentucky | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Tech | -14.0 | W by 26 | +12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | U Mass | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX El Paso | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | N Mex State | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Oregon | +18.5 | L by 39 | -20.5 |
| BUFF -6.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 223 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 153 times (68.6%)
- The team like Liberty won the game 70 times (31.4%)
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread,
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 265 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 133-126-6 (51.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/14 05:53 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 05:29 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 04:37 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 04:13 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 03:23 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 02:23 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 02:01 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 12:45 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 11:18 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 10:13 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 08:03 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 07:10 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 05:49 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 12:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 01:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/12 10:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/12 06:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/12 03:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/12 03:20 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 01:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/12 01:22 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 12:26 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 12:24 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/12 12:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:55 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/11 08:45 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:19 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/11 06:55 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 03:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/11 03:36 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 03:24 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/11 01:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 11:40 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 11:14 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/11 11:00 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:03 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:29 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:45 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/10 10:44 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/10 10:27 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 10:14 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 09:07 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 04:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/09 04:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/09 03:50 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 03:42 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 02:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/09 11:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/09 11:18 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 11:17 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 09:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 06:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/08 06:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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