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S Florida at NC State
Thu Sep 2, 2021
7:30pm ET
Raleigh, NC
S Florida at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 20, Total Points: 58
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USF | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
S Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | W Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Alabama | +34.5 | L by 14 | +20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rice | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Navy | +3.5 | W by 14 | +17.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | UAB | -3.0 | L by 21 | -24.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -3.0 | L by 42 | -45.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Connecticut | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Memphis | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Temple | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | UTSA | +14.5 | L by 28 | -13.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 34 | +27.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | +3.0 | W by 45 | +48.0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | VA Military | -43.0 | W by 38 | -5.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Virginia | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/29 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Marshall | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Duke | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Clemson | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | VA Tech | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Kansas St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| NCST -20.0 | Open | -17.5 | High | -20.0 |
| Last | -19.0 | Low | -16.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 95 games where the closing line favored the home team by 19 to 21 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 84 times (88.4%).
- The team like South Florida won the game 11 times (11.6%).
- The team like South Florida did better against the spread, going 48-44-3 (52.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 195 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like South Florida did better against the spread, going 97-96-2 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.0 | -20.0 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -17.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/02 07:30 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 09/02 07:14 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 06:38 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 06:17 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 04:14 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 03:38 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 03:11 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 03:02 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 01:59 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 12:47 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 11:32 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 11:14 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 10:54 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 10:24 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 09:34 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 09:04 AM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 09/02 09:02 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 08:17 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 08:02 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 07:20 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 11:24 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/01 10:17 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 09:29 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 08:02 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 02:38 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 01:36 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 12:58 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 08/31 12:38 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 06:17 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 01:14 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 09:19 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 02:05 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 11:32 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/22 10:28 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/21 11:50 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/19 01:34 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 08/18 06:04 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/17 02:24 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 08/17 02:05 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/17 01:11 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/17 01:04 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 08/17 12:02 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/17 09:41 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/17 09:34 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/17 08:44 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 08/17 08:41 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/09 03:44 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 08/06 11:53 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 07/07 12:54 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
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