ATS Situational Trends

Record LOU adv UVA
Season 6-8-0 8-4-0
vs Conference 4-5-0 6-2-0
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 5-2-0 4-2-0
Away 1-6-0 4-2-0

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/01 Neutral GA Tech -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
09/07 Home Murray St -43.5 W by 56 +12.5
09/16 Neutral Indiana -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
09/23 Home Boston Col -14.0 W by 28 +14.0
09/29 Away NC State -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
10/07 Home Notre Dame +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
10/14 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 L by 17 -24.0
10/28 Home Duke -5.0 W by 23 +18.0
11/04 Home VA Tech -9.0 W by 31 +22.0
11/09 Home Virginia -20.0 W by 7 -13.0
11/18 Away Miami (Pick) W by 7 +7.0
11/25 Home Kentucky -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
12/02 Neutral Florida St -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
12/27 Neutral USC -5.0 L by 14 -19.0

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/02 Neutral Tennessee +27.5 L by 36 -8.5
09/09 Home James Mad +6.0 L by 1 +5.0
09/15 Away Maryland +16.0 L by 28 -12.0
09/22 Home NC State +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
09/30 Away Boston Col +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
10/07 Home Wm & Mary -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
10/21 Away N Carolina +24.0 W by 4 +28.0
10/28 Away Miami +19.0 L by 3 +16.0
11/04 Home GA Tech -1.0 L by 28 -29.0
11/09 Away Louisville +20.0 L by 7 +13.0
11/18 Home Duke +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/25 Home VA Tech +1.0 L by 38 -37.0
UVA -1.5 Open +5.0 High -1.5
Last +1.0 Low +5.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 201 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Virginia won the game 104 times (51.7%).
  • The team like Louisville won the game 97 times (48.3%).
  • The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 102-98-1 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 3 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 6.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 2-0-1 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 10.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -1.5 -1.5 --
Open +4.5 +5.0 --
History
10/08 11:53 AM -1.5 -- --
10/08 11:44 AM -- -1.5 --
10/08 11:35 AM -- -1.0 --
10/08 11:29 AM -1.0 -- --
10/08 10:54 AM -- +1.0 --
10/08 10:50 AM +1.0 -- --
10/08 10:38 AM +1.0 -- --
10/08 10:25 AM -- (Pick) --
10/08 10:02 AM -1.0 -- --
10/08 09:35 AM -- +1.0 --
10/08 09:35 AM +1.0 -- --
10/08 09:09 AM +1.5 -- --
10/08 08:29 AM +3.0 -- --
10/08 07:56 AM +2.5 -- --
10/08 07:37 AM +2.5 -- --
10/07 03:54 PM -- +2.5 --
10/07 03:37 PM +2.5 -- --
10/07 02:46 PM -- +3.0 --
10/07 12:56 AM +3.0 -- --
10/07 12:44 AM -- +2.5 --
10/06 04:29 PM +3.0 -- --
10/05 07:18 PM +3.0 -- --
10/05 03:59 PM +3.0 -- --
10/05 10:35 AM -- +3.0 --
10/05 08:50 AM +3.0 -- --
10/05 08:24 AM -- +3.0 --
10/04 04:17 PM +3.0 -- --
10/04 02:05 PM -- +3.0 --
10/04 01:56 PM +3.0 -- --
10/04 12:35 PM -- +2.5 --
10/04 12:23 PM +2.5 -- --
10/03 02:35 PM +3.5 -- --
10/03 09:04 AM -- +3.0 --
10/03 08:35 AM +3.5 -- --
10/03 08:24 AM -- +3.5 --
10/02 09:14 PM -- +4.0 --
10/02 07:04 PM -- +4.5 --
10/02 06:17 PM +3.5 -- --
10/02 05:44 PM -- +5.0 --
10/02 04:47 PM +4.5 -- --