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Louisville at Boston Col
Sat Nov 28, 2020
4:00pm ET
Chestnut Hill, MA
Louisville at Boston Col: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Boston College by 1, Total Points: 56.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | BC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-8-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 4-2-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
Boston Col Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | N Illinois | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Holy Cross | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Florida St | +25.5 | L by 2 | +23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisville | +14.0 | L by 28 | -14.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Virginia | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Army | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 15 | +21.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | VA Tech | +3.0 | L by 26 | -23.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Miami | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | S Methodist | +13.5 | W by 9 | +22.5 |
| BC -1.0 | Open | +1.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 143 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Boston College won the game 61 times (42.7%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 82 times (57.3%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 82-61 (57.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 24 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 14-9-1 (60.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | (Pick) | +1.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 04:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/28 03:59 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:32 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:32 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:53 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:26 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:02 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:50 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:32 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:14 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:56 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:34 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:17 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:53 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:11 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:26 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:47 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:14 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:03 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:34 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/28 12:32 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:05 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 08:02 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 07:54 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/23 05:41 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:50 PM | (Pick) | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:14 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
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