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Louisville vs. Mississippi
Mon Sep 6, 2021
8:00pm ET
Atlanta, GA
(Neutral Site)
Louisville vs. Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi by 9, Total Points: 74.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-8-0 | 7-4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 3-3-2 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-2-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 4-2-1 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 3-2-1 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Mercer | -35.0 | W by 66 | +31.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Tech | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | LSU | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Vanderbilt | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Georgia | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -36.0 | W by 32 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Miss State | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Penn St | +6.0 | W by 13 | +19.0 |
| MISS -9.0 | Open | -8.0 | High | -11.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 161 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi won the game 118 times (73.3%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 43 times (26.7%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 86-74-1 (53.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 343 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 176-161-6 (52.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -9.0 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -8.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/06 08:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/06 08:05 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 07:56 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 07:32 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 07:15 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/06 07:08 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 06:53 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 06:32 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 06:05 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 05:50 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 05:32 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 05:05 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 04:57 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/06 04:36 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/06 04:24 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/06 03:59 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 02:12 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 01:29 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:53 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:34 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/06 12:29 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:26 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/06 10:53 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 09:32 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 09:11 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 08:50 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 08:44 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 09/06 08:17 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 03:14 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:17 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 11:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/05 09:31 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 10:59 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 09:29 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 08:26 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 02:11 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 02:41 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 09:24 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/02 05:54 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 09/02 05:26 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 08:14 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 04:17 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 01:15 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 08/30 08:59 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 06:54 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 08/29 11:47 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 09:08 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/19 08:41 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/18 06:08 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/15 10:13 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/15 02:04 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 08/11 12:32 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/06 04:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 08/06 12:23 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 07/07 12:54 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
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