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Louisville at Florida St
Sat Sep 25, 2021
3:30pm ET
Tallahassee, FL
Louisville at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida St. by 1.5, Total Points: 61
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-8-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 5-3-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | LSU | +1.5 | W by 21 | +22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Mississippi | -31.0 | W by 53 | +22.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Boston Col | -25.5 | W by 2 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Clemson | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | VA Tech | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Syracuse | -19.0 | W by 38 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Duke | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Wake Forest | -21.0 | W by 25 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Pittsburgh | -20.5 | W by 17 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | N Alabama | -48.0 | W by 45 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Louisville | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Georgia | +23.5 | L by 60 | -36.5 |
| FSU -1.5 | Open | +2.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 179 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida State won the game 89 times (49.7%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 90 times (50.3%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 94-84-1 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 58 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 30-26-2 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | +2.5 | +2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/25 03:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 02:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 02:44 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/25 02:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:44 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:17 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:47 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:44 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:26 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:54 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 09/25 09:59 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:59 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:20 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:17 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:32 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:14 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:02 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 08:44 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 09/24 07:05 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:05 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 03:35 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 10:44 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 09/22 10:29 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:05 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:59 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:26 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:14 PM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 09/21 11:47 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:50 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:14 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 09:04 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/20 08:52 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 08:24 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/19 10:22 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:17 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 07:54 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/19 07:37 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 05:20 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
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