ATS Situational Trends

Record LOU adv NCST
Season 6-8-0 7-6-0
vs Conference 4-5-0 6-2-0
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 5-2-0 5-2-0
Away 1-6-0 2-4-0

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/01 Neutral GA Tech -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
09/07 Home Murray St -43.5 W by 56 +12.5
09/16 Neutral Indiana -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
09/23 Home Boston Col -14.0 W by 28 +14.0
09/29 Away NC State -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
10/07 Home Notre Dame +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
10/14 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 L by 17 -24.0
10/28 Home Duke -5.0 W by 23 +18.0
11/04 Home VA Tech -9.0 W by 31 +22.0
11/09 Home Virginia -20.0 W by 7 -13.0
11/18 Away Miami (Pick) W by 7 +7.0
11/25 Home Kentucky -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
12/02 Neutral Florida St -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
12/27 Neutral USC -5.0 L by 14 -19.0

NC State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/31 Away Connecticut -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
09/09 Home Notre Dame +7.0 L by 21 -14.0
09/16 Home VA Military -43.0 W by 38 -5.0
09/22 Away Virginia -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
09/29 Home Louisville +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
10/07 Home Marshall -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
10/14 Away Duke +3.5 L by 21 -17.5
10/28 Home Clemson +10.0 W by 7 +17.0
11/04 Home Miami +6.5 W by 14 +20.5
11/11 Away Wake Forest -2.0 W by 20 +18.0
11/18 Away VA Tech +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/25 Home N Carolina +2.5 W by 19 +21.5
12/28 Neutral Kansas St +3.0 L by 9 -6.0
LOU -4.5 Open -4.0 High -4.5
Last -4.0 Low -3.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 263 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Louisville won the game 171 times (65.0%).
  • The team like NC State won the game 92 times (35.0%).
  • The team like NC State did better against the spread, going 131-131-1 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 586 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like NC State did better against the spread, going 315-263-8 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -4.5 --
Open -3.5 -3.5 --
History
11/16 07:28 PM -4.5 -- --
11/16 07:04 PM -4.5 -- --
11/16 06:58 PM -- -4.5 --
11/16 05:51 PM -4.5 -- --
11/16 04:29 PM -4.5 -- --
11/16 02:44 PM -- -4.0 --
11/16 02:31 PM -4.5 -- --
11/16 10:29 AM -3.5 -- --
11/16 09:28 AM -3.5 -- --
11/16 09:04 AM -- -3.5 --
11/16 06:58 AM -3.5 -- --
11/16 05:19 AM -3.5 -- --
11/15 11:19 PM -3.5 -- --
11/15 07:50 PM -3.5 -- --
11/15 06:14 PM -- -4.0 --
11/15 06:04 PM -- -3.5 --
11/15 05:44 PM -3.5 -- --
11/15 01:00 AM -3.5 -- --
11/14 08:34 PM -- -3.5 --
11/14 08:20 PM -3.5 -- --
11/14 07:14 PM -- -3.5 --
11/14 05:43 PM -3.5 -- --
11/14 03:16 PM -- -4.0 --
11/14 02:44 PM -- -3.5 --
11/14 02:27 PM -3.5 -- --
11/14 11:44 AM -- -4.0 --
11/14 11:29 AM -3.5 -- --
11/13 01:31 PM -3.5 -- --
11/13 09:49 AM -3.5 -- --
11/13 08:03 AM -3.5 -- --
11/12 06:33 PM -3.5 -- --
11/12 05:04 PM -- -4.0 --
11/12 04:38 PM -3.5 -- --
11/12 09:31 AM -3.5 -- --
11/11 12:44 PM -- -3.5 --
11/11 12:34 PM -3.5 -- --
11/11 09:34 AM -- -4.5 --
11/11 09:17 AM -4.5 -- --
11/10 06:44 PM -- -3.5 --
11/10 06:29 PM -3.5 -- --