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Virginia at Duke
Sat Oct 1, 2022
7:30pm ET
Durham, NC
Virginia at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 2, Total Points: 55
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| DUKE -2.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 310 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 159 times (51.3%).
- The team like Virginia won the game 151 times (48.7%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 158-145-7 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 504 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 254-240-10 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/01 07:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 06:56 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:55 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 03:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 01:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:56 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 09:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:56 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 03:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 06:45 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/30 06:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 06:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/30 02:47 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 02:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 09:14 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 06:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:35 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/28 09:06 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/28 08:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/28 08:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/28 04:45 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/28 04:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/28 03:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:15 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/28 09:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/28 09:50 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:15 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/28 08:49 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 08:46 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/27 07:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 06:02 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 05:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 02:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 01:45 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 11:55 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 11:14 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:05 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 09:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 09:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 08:45 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 07:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 04:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 01:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:54 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/26 11:32 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:32 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:34 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:07 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 06:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/25 05:16 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:14 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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