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Virginia at Louisville
Sat Oct 26, 2019
3:30pm ET
Louisville, KY
Virginia at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 4, Total Points: 51
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 1-6-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| UVA -4.0 | Open | -3.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 254 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 165 times (65.0%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 89 times (35.0%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 127-127 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 308 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 153-149-6 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/26 03:28 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:45 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:54 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:19 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:40 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:48 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:20 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 05:06 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 03:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/25 03:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 11:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/25 10:46 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 12:45 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 11:43 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:25 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:15 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/22 09:01 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 07:09 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 06:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/22 06:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/22 05:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/22 05:31 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/22 04:48 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:27 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:00 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 03:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/22 11:57 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/22 05:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/22 05:39 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/21 08:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/21 08:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 05:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 05:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/21 04:33 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 02:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 11:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/21 10:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 10:40 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 06:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/20 06:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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