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Virginia at Notre Dame
Sat Sep 28, 2019
3:30pm ET
South Bend, IN
Virginia at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 10.5, Total Points: 46.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | ND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 9-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 4-1-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 5-2-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Navy | -20.5 | W by 39 | +18.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | TN State | -48.5 | W by 53 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | NC State | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Central Mich | -35.0 | W by 24 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Duke | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisville | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | USC | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Pittsburgh | -21.0 | W by 51 | +30.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Clemson | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Wake Forest | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Stanford | -26.0 | W by 33 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Oregon St | -5.5 | W by 32 | +26.5 |
| ND -10.5 | Open | -11.0 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 252 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 183 times (72.6%).
- The team like Virginia won the game 69 times (27.4%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 129-120-3 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 508 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 275-225-8 (55.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.5 | -10.5 | -- |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/28 03:43 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 03:26 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 03:24 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/28 02:47 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:19 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:35 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:19 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/28 11:55 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:54 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/28 11:23 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:14 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/28 10:53 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:44 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/28 10:26 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:24 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/28 09:44 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 08:28 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 07:11 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:53 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 09:34 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/27 08:34 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/27 07:43 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 07:37 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 04:34 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/27 04:25 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 02:50 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 02:04 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/27 01:59 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 01:35 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/27 01:04 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/27 12:04 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/27 12:03 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:23 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 12:14 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:05 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:15 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:14 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:02 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:51 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:10 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 08:50 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 06:28 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 02:55 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 09/24 02:44 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:44 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 09/23 08:30 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 03:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/23 03:44 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:24 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/23 09:06 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 07:24 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/22 07:10 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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