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Virginia at Miami
Thu Sep 30, 2021
7:30pm ET
Miami Gardens, FL
Virginia at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 3.5, Total Points: 63.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| MIA -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 355 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 203 times (57.2%).
- The team like Virginia won the game 152 times (42.8%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 186-157-12 (54.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 477 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 236-230-11 (50.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/30 07:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/30 07:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/30 06:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/30 06:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/30 05:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/30 05:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/30 04:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 03:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/30 03:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 03:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 02:47 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:32 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:56 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:23 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:32 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:41 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:17 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 07:56 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:56 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 09:17 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 07:29 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 06:35 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 05:17 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 05:08 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 03:05 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 01:05 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/29 08:44 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:38 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 06:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/28 01:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/28 03:53 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:11 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 10:41 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/27 10:20 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:10 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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