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Virginia at N Carolina
Sat Sep 18, 2021
7:30pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Virginia at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 7.5, Total Points: 66.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| UNC -7.5 | Open | -8.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 283 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 201 times (71.0%).
- The team like Virginia won the game 82 times (29.0%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 150-125-8 (54.5% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 364 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 186-172-6 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/18 07:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 07:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/18 07:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:11 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 04:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 04:24 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 03:35 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 03:04 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 02:38 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 02:14 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 02:04 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 12:54 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 12:34 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 12:04 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 11:04 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 10:44 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 10:24 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 10:04 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 09:41 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 09:05 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 08:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 08:04 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/18 07:53 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 09:41 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 11:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 07:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 01:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 03:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 03:54 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/15 01:56 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 12:38 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 12:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 08:02 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 11:47 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 05:35 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 10:50 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 10:34 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/13 08:44 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/13 08:32 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 05:54 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 09/12 07:02 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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