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Nebraska at Michigan St
Sat Sep 25, 2021
7:00pm ET
East Lansing, MI
Nebraska at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan St. by 3.5, Total Points: 55
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEB | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-1 | 5-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 3-5-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 2-2-1 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Colorado | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | N Illinois | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | LA Tech | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Michigan | +17.5 | L by 38 | -20.5 |
| 10/06 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Northwestern | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Purdue | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
| MSU -3.5 | Open | +5.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | +5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 348 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan State won the game 201 times (57.8%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 147 times (42.2%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 181-155-12 (53.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 1 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 9 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 1-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 18.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/25 07:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 04:58 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/25 04:41 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/25 04:01 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 03:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/25 03:05 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/25 02:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/25 02:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 02:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/25 01:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:35 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 01:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 12:35 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 11:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 11:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 11:32 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:17 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 11:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:47 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:11 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:02 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 09:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/25 09:20 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:26 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:17 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/25 07:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 03:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 02:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/24 10:25 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 10:22 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:06 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 09:45 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 08:15 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 08:05 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 07:16 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 06:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 06:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 05:35 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 05:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 04:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 04:05 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 03:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 03:25 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/24 03:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 12:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:56 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 07:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 06:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 05:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 09:41 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 04:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 12:47 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 11:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:05 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:17 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 09:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 02:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/20 10:29 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 08:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/19 06:05 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/19 05:28 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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