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Boston Col at Louisville
Sat Oct 23, 2021
4:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Boston Col at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 4, Total Points: 57.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BC | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-8-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-6-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 1-6-0 |
Boston Col Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | N Illinois | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Holy Cross | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Florida St | +25.5 | L by 2 | +23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisville | +14.0 | L by 28 | -14.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Virginia | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Army | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 15 | +21.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | VA Tech | +3.0 | L by 26 | -23.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Miami | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | S Methodist | +13.5 | W by 9 | +22.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| LOU -4.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 322 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 187 times (58.1%).
- The team like Boston College won the game 135 times (41.9%).
- The team like Boston College did better against the spread, going 173-137-12 (55.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 181 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Boston College did better against the spread, going 93-86-2 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/23 03:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/23 01:08 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:47 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/23 10:23 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:35 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:45 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/23 08:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/23 08:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 08:05 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 06:29 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 05:50 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 02:14 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 06:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/21 03:44 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 03:25 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/21 03:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 09:32 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 08:02 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 12:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 10:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/18 10:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/18 10:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 08:53 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/17 05:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/17 05:11 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 04:23 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 03:49 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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