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E Michigan at Toledo
Sat Oct 26, 2019
3:30pm ET
Toledo, OH
E Michigan at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 2.5, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | EMU | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-1 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-1 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-1 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-4-0 |
E Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Howard | -20.5 | W by 10 | -10.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Minnesota | +20.0 | L by 19 | +1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | U Mass | -8.0 | W by 2 | -6.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Jksnville St | +6.5 | L by 21 | -14.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Central Mich | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Kent St | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Illinois | +11.5 | L by 7 | +4.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | W Michigan | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Toledo | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Akron | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | Buffalo | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | S Alabama | +17.5 | L by 49 | -31.5 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| TOL -2.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 375 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 201 times (53.6%).
- The team like Eastern Michigan won the game 174 times (46.4%).
- The team like Eastern Michigan did better against the spread, going 197-168-10 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 308 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 153-149-6 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/26 03:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/26 03:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:05 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 02:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 02:05 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 01:54 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/26 01:00 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/26 11:51 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 10:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/25 11:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 08:52 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 08:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 06:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/25 03:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/25 02:51 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 12:45 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:39 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 02:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:25 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 05:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/23 05:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 04:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/23 04:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/23 03:45 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/23 10:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/23 10:32 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:25 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/23 08:04 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:27 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 05:22 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:42 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:33 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 07:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 06:00 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/22 04:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 03:33 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 03:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/22 02:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 12:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/22 12:11 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:55 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:27 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 01:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/21 01:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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