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Air Force at Boise St
Sat Oct 16, 2021
9:00pm ET
Boise, ID
Air Force at Boise St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Boise St. by 3, Total Points: 52
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AFA | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 7-5-2 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-3-2 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 5-0-1 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 2-5-1 |
Air Force Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Robert Morris | -47.0 | W by 35 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Neutral | Sam Hous St | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 09/15 | Home | Utah St | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | San Jose St | -6.5 | W by 25 | +18.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | San Diego St | -10.5 | W by 39 | +28.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Wyoming | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Navy | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Colorado St | -14.5 | W by 17 | +2.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Army | -18.5 | L by 20 | -38.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Hawaii | -20.0 | L by 14 | -34.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UNLV | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boise St | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | James Mad | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
Boise St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Washington | +14.5 | L by 37 | -22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UCF | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | North Dakota | -15.0 | W by 24 | +9.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | San Diego St | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | San Jose St | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Colorado St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Wyoming | -4.5 | W by 25 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Fresno St | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | New Mexico | -27.5 | W by 28 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Utah St | -4.5 | W by 35 | +30.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Air Force | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | UNLV | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | UCLA | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| BSU -3.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 351 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Boise State won the game 194 times (55.3%).
- The team like Air Force won the game 157 times (44.7%).
- The team like Air Force did better against the spread, going 185-154-12 (54.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 119 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Boise State did better against the spread, going 62-57 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/16 09:04 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:55 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/16 08:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 07:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/16 01:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/16 12:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/16 12:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/16 09:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:08 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:23 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:08 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 04:41 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 06:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 05:35 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/14 05:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 04:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 04:41 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 03:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 03:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 03:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 02:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 01:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 01:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 12:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 12:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 11:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 10:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 10:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 09:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 09:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 08:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 07:26 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 06:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 05:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 04:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 04:01 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/14 03:05 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/13 05:14 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 04:41 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 01:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 12:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/13 11:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/13 08:05 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 05:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/12 01:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 06:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 12:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/11 09:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 12:11 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/10 03:40 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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