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Illinois at Wisconsin
Sat Oct 1, 2022
12:00pm ET
Madison, WI
Illinois at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 6.5, Total Points: 43
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9-0 | 6-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 4-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 0-7-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Toledo | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 09/08 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Penn St | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Purdue | -1.0 | L by 25 | -26.0 |
| 10/06 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Maryland | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Northwestern | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 21 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Wash State | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Southern | -20.5 | W by 21 | +0.5 |
| 09/22 | Away | Purdue | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Rutgers | -12.5 | W by 11 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Iowa | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Ohio St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Northwestern | -12.5 | L by 14 | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | LSU | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| WIS -6.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 336 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 237 times (70.5%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 99 times (29.5%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 169-159-8 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 97 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 54-43 (55.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -9.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/01 12:02 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 11:35 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/01 11:23 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:54 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/01 10:41 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 05:45 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/01 05:10 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 03:54 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 03:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 04:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:49 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:49 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 03:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 12:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/26 02:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/26 02:19 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:07 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/26 11:31 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:14 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/26 08:16 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:19 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:31 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:55 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:34 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:43 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/25 05:22 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
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