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Illinois at Penn St
Sat Oct 23, 2021
12:00pm ET
University Park, PA
Illinois at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 24.5, Total Points: 46
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 0-7-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Toledo | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 09/08 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Penn St | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Purdue | -1.0 | L by 25 | -26.0 |
| 10/06 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Maryland | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Northwestern | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
| PSU -24.5 | Open | -20.0 | High | -24.5 |
| Last | -24.0 | Low | -20.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 114 games where the closing line favored the home team by 23.5 to 25.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn State won the game 107 times (93.9%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 7 times (6.1%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 58-56 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 40 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 21-18-1 (53.8% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -24.5 | -24.5 | -- |
| Open | -23.5 | -23.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/23 12:02 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:54 AM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 10/23 11:38 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:34 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/23 10:50 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:35 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:05 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:26 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:08 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:32 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:56 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:44 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/23 06:34 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/23 02:26 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:54 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/22 07:29 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:47 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:04 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/22 03:56 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 02:41 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 10:53 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:24 AM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/22 09:08 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 08:38 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 06:56 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 02:29 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 11:02 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 10:24 AM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 10/21 10:17 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 09:32 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 08:56 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:56 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:35 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 08:08 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:02 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 10:34 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/18 02:14 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/18 02:02 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 10:34 AM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 10/18 10:32 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 08:53 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 07:04 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/17 05:34 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/17 05:05 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 03:52 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
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