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Notre Dame at Louisville
Mon Sep 2, 2019
8:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Notre Dame at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 19, Total Points: 55
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ND | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3-1 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-1-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 1-6-0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Navy | -20.5 | W by 39 | +18.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | TN State | -48.5 | W by 53 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | NC State | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Central Mich | -35.0 | W by 24 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Duke | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisville | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | USC | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Pittsburgh | -21.0 | W by 51 | +30.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Clemson | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Wake Forest | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Stanford | -26.0 | W by 33 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Oregon St | -5.5 | W by 32 | +26.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| ND -19.0 | Open | -20.0 | High | -20.5 |
| Last | -18.5 | Low | -18.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 38 games where the closing line favored the away team by 18 to 20 points. In these games:
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 35 times (92.1%)
- The team like Louisville won the game 3 times (7.9%)
- The team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 21-16-1 (56.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.1 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 349 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 175-168-6 (51.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.0 | -19.5 | -- |
| Open | -20.0 | -20.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/02 08:04 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 07:52 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 07:22 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 07:15 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 09/02 06:44 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 06:35 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 05:34 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 05:25 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 05:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 05:11 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 04:33 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 04:24 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 04:04 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/02 03:58 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 03:14 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 02:51 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 02:33 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 02:24 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/02 01:48 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 01:44 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 09/02 01:26 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 01:19 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 09/02 12:53 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 12:44 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 09/02 12:34 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/02 12:31 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 12:04 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 12:04 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 09/02 11:34 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 11:15 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/02 10:57 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 09:58 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 09:44 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/02 09:14 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 09/02 08:59 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 08:18 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 04:59 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 01:44 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 08:42 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 08:00 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 07:26 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 05:51 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 01:50 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 01:24 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 01:11 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 12:19 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 07:56 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 03:03 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:31 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 10:27 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 12:08 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 01:32 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 03:23 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 10:55 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 04:51 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 05:14 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 08/28 04:52 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 02:34 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 08/28 02:17 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 07:05 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 10:45 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 01:26 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 10:06 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 02:42 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 01:54 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 08/26 12:55 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/25 11:14 AM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 08/24 04:26 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/22 01:55 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/20 03:21 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/20 02:05 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/18 09:35 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/14 01:35 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/14 12:27 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 07/29 10:04 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 07/27 10:54 AM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 07/25 01:44 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 07/23 05:54 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 07/22 02:54 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 07/22 02:42 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 07/04 06:44 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 07/04 06:18 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 07/03 03:38 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 06/17 05:24 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
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