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Notre Dame at Michigan
Sat Oct 26, 2019
7:30pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Notre Dame at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 1, Total Points: 47
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ND | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3-1 | 9-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 4-1-1 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 7-1-0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Navy | -20.5 | W by 39 | +18.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | TN State | -48.5 | W by 53 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | NC State | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Central Mich | -35.0 | W by 24 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Duke | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisville | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | USC | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Pittsburgh | -21.0 | W by 51 | +30.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Clemson | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Wake Forest | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Stanford | -26.0 | W by 33 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Oregon St | -5.5 | W by 32 | +26.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| MICH +1.0 | Open | -7.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | +1.5 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 142 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 61 times (43.0%).
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 81 times (57.0%).
- The team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 81-61 (57.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 2 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 6.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 2-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 14.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/26 07:44 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/26 07:10 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 06:46 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 06:12 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 05:41 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 05:07 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:21 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:34 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/26 03:25 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:48 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:44 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/26 02:31 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:04 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/26 12:01 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:14 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/26 11:01 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:44 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/26 10:34 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:14 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 10/26 08:53 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:40 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:22 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:18 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 10:10 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 06:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 06:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/25 05:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 12:05 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/25 11:44 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/25 11:35 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 01:14 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/25 12:57 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 08:24 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/24 08:09 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 06:24 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/24 06:14 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 03:30 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:41 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:01 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:23 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:24 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/23 10:54 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:06 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:42 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 02:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/21 02:04 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 12:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 11:04 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/21 10:56 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 06:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/20 06:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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