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Liberty at Virginia
Sat Nov 23, 2019
12:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Liberty at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 16, Total Points: 58
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LIB | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | N Mex State | -9.0 | W by 16 | +7.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Buffalo | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 32 | +22.0 |
| 10/05 | Home | Sam Hous St | -21.5 | W by 5 | -16.5 |
| 10/10 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 10/17 | Home | Middle Tenn | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | W Kentucky | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Tech | -14.0 | W by 26 | +12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | U Mass | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX El Paso | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | N Mex State | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Oregon | +18.5 | L by 39 | -20.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
| UVA -16.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -18.5 |
| Last | -16.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 222 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 200 times (90.1%).
- The team like Liberty won the game 22 times (9.9%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 116-102-4 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 465 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 238-220-7 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -16.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/23 12:02 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 11:36 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:54 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/23 10:50 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:18 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:05 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/23 09:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/23 09:26 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:47 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 07:24 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/22 06:36 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 02:51 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 11:43 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 08:02 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:32 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:53 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:25 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:46 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 03:14 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 02:32 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 11/20 12:22 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 11:14 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/20 11:04 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:04 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:44 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/20 01:35 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 10:54 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/19 10:16 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 10:04 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 05:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 11/18 04:57 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 04:26 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 03:11 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 09:44 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/18 09:31 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 08:14 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/17 06:45 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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