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Liberty at W Kentucky
Sat Sep 19, 2020
12:00pm ET
Bowling Green, KY
Liberty at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 14.5, Total Points: 51.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LIB | adv | WKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 4-3-0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | N Mex State | -9.0 | W by 16 | +7.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Buffalo | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 32 | +22.0 |
| 10/05 | Home | Sam Hous St | -21.5 | W by 5 | -16.5 |
| 10/10 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 10/17 | Home | Middle Tenn | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | W Kentucky | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Tech | -14.0 | W by 26 | +12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | U Mass | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX El Paso | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | N Mex State | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Oregon | +18.5 | L by 39 | -20.5 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | S Florida | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Houston Baptist | -42.5 | W by 30 | -12.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Ohio St | +29.5 | L by 53 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Troy | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 09/28 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 10/05 | Away | LA Tech | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 10/24 | Home | Liberty | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | TX El Paso | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | N Mex State | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida Intl | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/18 | Neutral | Old Dominion | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| WKU -14.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -15.5 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 138 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 119 times (86.2%).
- The team like Liberty won the game 19 times (13.8%).
- The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 75-63 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 7 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 5-2 (71.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 13.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -14.5 | -- |
| Open | -13.0 | -13.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/19 12:02 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 11:54 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/19 11:47 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:56 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:20 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:08 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 10:04 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 09/19 09:34 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 09/19 09:20 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 09:17 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:26 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:17 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 07:26 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 07:20 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 05:11 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 04:17 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 07:35 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 05:50 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 07:05 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 09:53 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 08:05 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 07:41 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 07:24 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/15 05:50 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 05:47 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 01:17 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 01:11 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 10:29 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 06:05 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 12:24 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/14 12:17 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 12:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/14 12:03 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 09/13 04:35 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
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