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Liberty at NC State
Sat Nov 21, 2020
7:30pm ET
Raleigh, NC
Liberty at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 4, Total Points: 66.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LIB | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | N Mex State | -9.0 | W by 16 | +7.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Buffalo | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 32 | +22.0 |
| 10/05 | Home | Sam Hous St | -21.5 | W by 5 | -16.5 |
| 10/10 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 10/17 | Home | Middle Tenn | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | W Kentucky | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Tech | -14.0 | W by 26 | +12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | U Mass | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX El Paso | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | N Mex State | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Oregon | +18.5 | L by 39 | -20.5 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | VA Military | -43.0 | W by 38 | -5.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Virginia | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/29 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Marshall | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Duke | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Clemson | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | VA Tech | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Kansas St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| NCST -4.0 | Open | -3.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 341 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 217 times (63.6%).
- The team like Liberty won the game 124 times (36.4%).
- The team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 174-155-12 (52.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 31 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 19-12 (61.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/21 07:32 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:08 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 06:44 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 05:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 05:44 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:32 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 02:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 01:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 12:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/21 11:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:32 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:15 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 09:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 09:47 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:42 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:23 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/21 08:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 08:17 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:59 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 05:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 04:53 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 03:47 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 02:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 01:26 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 10:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/20 01:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/20 01:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:26 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 06:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/20 06:02 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 04:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/19 02:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 12:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/19 11:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/19 11:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/19 10:47 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/18 04:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 08:08 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 12:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/16 10:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/16 10:08 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 05:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/15 04:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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