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Minnesota at Northwestern
Sat Nov 23, 2019
12:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Minnesota at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 16, Total Points: 41
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-9-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Nebraska | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Northwestern | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Louisiana | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Michigan | +19.0 | L by 42 | -23.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Michigan St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Illinois | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Purdue | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio St | +27.5 | L by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| MINN -16.0 | Open | -10.0 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -16.5 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 92 games where the closing line favored the away team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 79 times (85.9%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 13 times (14.1%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 51-41 (55.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 18 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota went 9-9 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -16.0 | -- |
| Open | -12.5 | -12.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/23 12:02 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 11:31 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 11:24 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/23 10:53 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:44 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 11/23 10:19 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:14 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/23 09:36 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 09:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/23 08:04 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 07:33 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 05:15 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 02:25 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:26 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/22 09:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/22 09:11 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 08:16 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 07:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 04:14 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/22 04:09 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 03:55 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/22 09:20 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:35 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/21 05:20 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 01:56 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:05 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/20 05:14 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/20 04:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 03:09 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:00 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:04 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 01:09 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 09:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/19 09:10 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 08:22 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 06:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/19 05:55 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 04:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/19 03:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/19 02:49 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/19 01:54 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/19 01:45 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 12:25 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 04:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/18 04:24 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 01:44 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/18 12:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 11/18 12:25 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 08:25 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/18 08:14 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 11/18 08:07 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 06:45 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
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