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Minnesota at Northwestern
Sat Oct 30, 2021
3:30pm ET
Evanston, IL
Minnesota at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 7.5, Total Points: 43.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-9-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Nebraska | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Northwestern | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Louisiana | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Michigan | +19.0 | L by 42 | -23.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Michigan St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Illinois | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Purdue | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio St | +27.5 | L by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| MINN -7.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 228 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 149 times (65.4%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 79 times (34.6%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 113-107-8 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 60 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 32-26-2 (55.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/30 03:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/30 03:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/30 02:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 01:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/30 11:53 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/30 11:29 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:53 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:20 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/30 07:25 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/30 07:13 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/30 06:20 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:01 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/30 03:13 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 06:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 10:31 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 12:38 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 09:17 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 11:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:20 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 06:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/24 04:35 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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